RESOLVING THE LEDGER
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It's fantasy football draft season.
What a glorious sentence. Training camps are underway in earnest, preseason kicks off this week and the season will be here before you can spell "Kyle Juszczyk" (which takes me about 25 business days on average). Whether you've been following the beats all summer or are just now tuning back in, one of your best tools for taking the temperature of the fantasy football community is Average Draft Position, or ADP.
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But that ADP is subject to change — quite a lot — over the next month. So, as we hit the heart of mock drafts (and eventually real drafts) and these ADPs continue to shift, here are 10 players whose draft cost I'm watching closely.
Jeremiyah Love, RB, Cardinals (ADP 26.9)
The closer we get to September, the more ADP shifts away from the brainchild of degenerates and diehards — like me — and closer to the consensus of the average fantasy player. Oftentimes, that comes with a notable shift in perception on rookies. Running back Jeremiyah Love was drafted third overall out of Notre Dame and is the top rookie in fantasy ADP — a potentially game-changing talent. But the Cardinals entered training camp with a lot of question marks on offense and have raised even more with recent comments about James Conner and Tyler Allgeier. Historically speaking, Love's draft capital suggests he will be a workhorse, but a long look at Arizona's roster raises some red flags about efficiency and scoring chances. The breakdown of snaps and touches will likely remain something of a mystery until Week 1 (or beyond), so fantasy drafters will have to work off conjecture for now.
Cam Skattebo, RB, Giants (ADP 41.4)
Second-year running back Cam Skattebo is undeniably polarizing. He was polarizing as an NFL draft prospect: many saw him as an early-round talent, but he fell to Day 3. He was polarizing as a rookie, when he quickly took over the Giants backfield, but played with concerning recklessness and suffered a season-ending leg injury. And he remains polarizing entering 2026, as drafters weigh his RB1 overall upside against an apparent disregard for his own health and wellness (e.g. the infamous backflip video).
I can’t even imagine John Harbaughs reaction to seeing this LOL pic.twitter.com/hCfiCvwCxV
— WyattzWorld (@WyattzWorId) July 18, 2026
Ultimately, Skattebo is going to be the personification of a risk-reward investment, and it will be interesting to see how the fantasy community weighs the two sides of that scale. He's currently the RB18, going in the fourth round — that will almost certainly be a steal if the man can stay healthy all season.
Malik Nabers, WR, Giants (ADP 35.6)
The only rational explanation for Malik Nabers' heavily-depressed ADP is concern over his recovery timeline. The fact that Nabers was not placed on the PUP list to start training camp, and is looking good in practice , should start to change that tune fairly quickly. He has been an absolute monster to start his career, drawing 205 targets through 19 games and finishing as the WR7 as a rookie with abysmal quarterback play. A full offseason with Jaxson Dart should translate to higher quality targets, and the departure of Wan'Dale Robinson could boost the quantity as well. In fact, I would not be surprised to see Nabers lead the NFL in that category in 2026. Nevertheless, he is less than a year off a torn ACL and currently sits at WR15 at the 3-4 turn. As reports continue to trickle in from training camp, I'll be watching for the corresponding shift in Nabers' ADP.
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Broncos (ADP 45.4)
When it comes to Jaylen Waddle's ADP, I feel like the scientists in Oppenheimer preparing to watch the Trinity test with welding glasses and sunscreen. I've been touting the new Broncos wide receiver as a major draft value and one of my 2026 "flag plants" all summer, as has Matt Harmon , who called Waddle "probably the most mispriced player in fantasy." I agree. He's an extremely talented receiver who profiles as the top volume option in a productive offense with a good quarterback. The growing hype has boosted him up to WR19 on Yahoo, but there's still room to rise as Denver head coach Sean Payton — and fantasy analysts like myself — continue to rave about his potential. I would not be shocked to see him climb from his current spot at the back of the fourth round closer to DeVonta Smith and Rashee Rice in the middle of the third.
Tucker Kraft, TE, Packers (ADP 60.7)
Very similar to Nabers above, Tucker Kraft is recovering from an ACL tear early in the 2025 season but had flashed the upside to be a top-tier fantasy asset when healthy. Specifically, through seven games last season (before his injury), Kraft was the overall TE1 in total fantasy points (98.2) and points per game (14.0). And also similar to Nabers, Kraft's ADP seems to reflect concerns over his recovery timeline, as he sits at the very end of the fifth round as the fifth tight end off the board. However, recent reports suggest Kraft is very much on track to play in the season opener . While most of the fantasy community gnashes their teeth over which wide receiver will lead the Green Bay passing attack ... I'm eyeballing the tight end who was doing so just last season. Time will tell whether Kraft can close the ADP gap with Tyler Warren (4-5 turn) and Colston Loveland (middle of the fourth).
Bhayshul Tuten, RB, Jaguars (ADP 64.1)
Of all the 250+ players worth considering in typical fantasy drafts, Bhayshul Tuten is the one that's hardest for me to pinpoint. He's currently going as the RB25 in the sixth round on Yahoo, but for some additional reference, he's going nearly a round later on ESPN and nearly a round earlier in FFPC leagues. Will he be the RB1 in Jacksonville? If he is, how much work will Chris Rodriguez Jr. command, particularly...
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