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Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 4
Arizona (60-53) won the series opener versus San Diego (58-55), 5-1. The Diamondbacks are now up 4-3 for the season series over the Padres and Arizona is now tied for the final spot in the NL Wild Card.
The Diamondbacks are 5-1 over the last six games and scored at least four runs in four of those six. In the past five games, Arizona has a 2.86 ERA (7th) and 1.14 WHIP (8th) as a pitching rotation, plus the 10th-most runs scored in that span (23). The Diamondbacks are 2.0 games up over the Padres in the standings entering today's game.
San Diego's 1-4 hitters went 0-for-15 with one walk in yesterday's loss to Arizona. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for the Padres. Over the last 10 games, San Diego is 8-2 and scored at least four runs in seven of those contests. The Padres are hitting .257 (8th) as a group in the last week and a 3.23 ERA (10th).
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Padres at Diamondbacks
Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Site: Chase Field
City: Phoenix, AZ
Network/Streaming: MLB TV / ESPN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page , along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Padres at the Diamondbacks
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+102), Arizona Diamondbacks (-123)
The Diamondbacks’ Gabriel Moreno is hitting .298 with 89 hits, 8 home runs and 47 RBI over 299 at-bats
The Diamondbacks’ Tim Tawa is hitting .224 with 32 hits and 35 strikeouts over 143 at-bats
The Padres’ Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .280 with 122 hits, 8 home runs, and 49 RBI over 435 at-bats
The Padres’ Jake Croneworth is hitting .210 with 42 hits and 51 strikeouts over 200 at-bats
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Diamondbacks
San Diego is 61-52 ATS, ranking tied for sixth-best
Arizona is 61-52 ATS, ranking tied for sixth-best
San Diego is 61-51-1 to the Under, ranking eighth-best
Arizona is 60-47-6 to the Under, ranking second-best
San Diego is 30-24 ATS on the road, ranking fourth-best
Arizona is 29-23 ATS at home, ranking fourth-best
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Diamondbacks at -1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.0
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PadresDiamondbacks PredictionOddsSan Diego PadresArizona Diamondbacks Game Preview ArizonaSan DiegoThe DiamondbacksArizonaNL Wild CardERAWHIPOver
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