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2026 Tour Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors
The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs conclude on Thursday at 10:03 a.m. ET with the 2026 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. Scottie Scheffler won the FedEx St. Jude Championship in the first round, while Wyndham Clark took the BMW Championship last week. Unlike prior versions of the Tour Championship, however, there's no staggered scoring start, meaning that all 30 players are on equal footing to win the $10 million first-place prize as part of the $40 million total purse for this no-cut event. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5 :
Scheffler is the favorite at +350 (risk $100 to win $350) in the 2026 Tour Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Rory McIlroy is next on the PGA odds board at +950. Clark is +1800, with defending Tour Championship winner Tommy Fleetwood at +2200. Before locking in any 2026 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 Tour Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .
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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites .
Now that the 2026 Tour Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard .
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One major surprise the model is calling for: Xander Schauffele, who has the third-lowest-odds at +1500, barely cracks the top 10. Schauffele has no wins this season and just three top-5 finishes. He's also coming off a T26 finish at the BMW Championship in the 50-golfer field. He's been a regular in the top 5 at East Lake, but hasn't won this event since 2017, so the model doesn't love his value at these lower odds. See who else to fade here .
Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +1800, saying he's a strong win contender and a value top-5 bet. Burns wasn't great last week either with a T28 finish. Otherwise, he's played extremely well late in the season with top-5 finishes at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the Open Championship and the U.S. Open. He has a pair of top-10 finishes at East Lake in the past three years, so he's a great bet to be in the mix come Sunday. See who else to pick here .
The model is also targeting a massive longshot higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here .
Who will win the 2026 Tour Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Tour Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors , including three in 2025.
Get full 2026 Tour Championship picks, best bets and predictions here . (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +350 Rory McIlroy +950 Xander Schauffele +1500 Ludvig Åberg +1600 Matt Fitzpatrick +1800 Wyndham Clark +1800 Sam Burns +1800 Cameron Young +1800 Collin Morikawa +1800 Tommy Fleetwood +2000 Patrick Cantlay +2000 Chris Gotterup +2200 Si Woo Kim +2200 Viktor Hovland +2700 Russell Henley +3000 Hideki Matsuyama +3300 J.J. Spaun +4000 Gary Woodland +4000 Ryan Gerard +4500 Tom Kim +4500 Robert MacIntyre +4500 Jacob Bridgeman +4500 Justin Rose +4500 Adam Scott +4500 Min Woo Lee +5500 Kristoffer Reitan +6500 Alex Smalley +6500 Ryan Fox +10000 Akshay Bhatia +10000 Alex Fitzpatrick +10000
Tour ChampionshipSurprisingSportsLine'sFedEx Cup Playoffs SportsLine'sFedEx Cup Playoffs
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