RESOLVING THE LEDGER
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See the full story · 3 sourcesAs the PGA Tour regular season reaches its thrilling conclusion, players head to Greensboro, North Carolina, for the 2026 Wyndham Championship. First held in 1938, the Wyndham is the final chance for golfers to make the top 70 of the FedExCup standings and secure their spots in the upcoming playoffs.
Standing in the field's way is Sedgefield Country Club, a short par-70 Donald Ross venue under 7,100 yards that rewards strategy over strength. Drivers can be kept in check, but iron accuracy, smart placement, and clutch putting on fast Bermuda greens are non-negotiables for surviving Sedgefield.
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Even though this has been the golf betting year from hell, I'm officially on a heater after profiting for a second straight PGA TOUR event at last week's Rocket Classic . Unfortunately, I need to hit three straight outrights to get out of the hole: -49.79 units (u) this season.
For the Wyndham, I'm risking 2.06u on outrights and 3u on placements. Without further ado, here are my horses for the course at Sedgefield.
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The following odds are based on my previous bets on the golfers listed below. Subject to change.
🇰🇷 Tom Kim +3600 at DraftKings (0.56u) and Top-20 with ties +152 at Kalshi (0.75u)
🇰🇷 Sungjae Im +5100 at DraftKings (0.39u) and Top-20 with ties +165 at Kalshi (0.75u)
🇺🇸 Davis Thompson +5800 at DraftKings (0.34u) and Top-10 with ties +398 at Kalshi (0.25u)
🇺🇸 Ben Kohles +5800 at DraftKings (0.34u) and Top-20 with ties +207 at Kalshi (0.5u)
🇺🇸 Blades Brown +7694 (0.26u) and Top-20 with ties +252 (0.5u), both at Kalshi
🇺🇸 Billy Horschel +11500 at DraftKings (0.17u) and Top-20 with ties +398 at Kalshi (0.25u)
Simply put, Kim has longer odds than guys he is playing better than. In fact, the only reason Tom’s odds aren’t shorter is that he won too recently and the market doesn’t think he can win twice in a short span. But, winning begets more winning.
Furthermore, the South Korean is leading this field in total strokes gained (SG) over his last five starts, according to DataGolf.com. During that stretch, he has a third at the U.S. Open, a win at the Genesis Scottish Open and a T20 at the 3M Open in his last tournament.
Kim won the 2022 Wyndham on debut and withdrew last year in his only other visit to Sedgefield. Bermuda greens are his best putting surface over the last 12 months, per Betsperts Golf . He is leading this field in SG: Approach over the last 36 rounds and ranks third in Par 4 scoring. When you put all that together, anything above +3000 is a good bet for Kim.
It’s been a tough year for Im, especially with the irons, as he ranks 149th in SG: Approach on TOUR this season.
However, Sungjae has gained strokes on approach in five of his seven career Wyndhams. He’s made the cut in all seven; Im finished T14-or-better in four of his first five appearances at Sedgefield, with a T6 in 2019, T9 in 2020 and T2 in 2022.
And while Sungjae is having a down year by his standards, he does have several nice finishes, such as T4 at the Valspar Championship, T5 at the Truist Championship, T14 at the British Open and a T15 at the Rocket Classic his last time out.
Finally, Im’s odds at Bookmaker are +3919 at the time of writing, which is important because Bookmaker has a sharp golf betting market.
After cashing a top-20 ticket for me by tying for eighth at last week’s Rocket Classic, I’m investing in Thompson again at the Wyndham. He’s improved year over year in his four visits to Sedgefield: Missed cut in 2021, T22 in 2023, T12 in 2024 and T11 last year.
The Georgia Bulldog has gained strokes around-the-green in his four Wyndhams, and he has struggled chipping this year. Thompson has picked up strokes off-the-tee in his four appearances at Sedgefield and he’s gained strokes in driving accuracy in three straight.
Thompson ranks 123rd in putting on TOUR this season, but he has gained strokes on the greens in the last two Wyndhams. Again, the 27-year-old enters this week with good lead-in form: T7 at the 3M Open two weeks ago and T8 last week.
Kohles is first in my model at Betsperts Golf. He leads this field in driving accuracy over the last 36 rounds, ranks third in SG: Approach and eighth in Par 4 scoring. Over that span, Kohles has a T23 at the U.S. Open, T3 at the John Deere Classic, T15 at the ISCO Championship and ninth at the 3M Open.
While he has historically been a terrible putter, Kohles has gained strokes on the greens in five of his last six starts, including four straight. If he keeps that up, he’ll be in the mix at Sedgefield this weekend.
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Because, again, Kohles is one of the most accurate drivers in golf and dialed in with his irons and putting, approach play and driving are the three most important skills for Sedgefield.
There has been a youth movement on TOUR in the last two weeks. Jackson Koivun, one of the best college golfers ever, and Michael Thorbjornsen, 2024 PGA TOUR University valedictorian, both broke through for their first wins on TOUR at the 3M Open and Rocket Classic in the past two tournaments.
Brown is another name golf fans should get used to. He is just 19 years old and received a special temporary membership June 2. Brown has been tearing it up on the Korn Ferry Tour and has finished T18-or-better in six of his eight starts on the PGA TOUR this year.
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He’s gained strokes across the board (driving, irons, chipping and putting) in his last two PGA TOUR starts: T12 at the John Deere Classic and T11 at the Corales Puntacana Championship. Brown narrowly missed a putt to shoot a 59 at The American Express in his first start this year.
This is another guy with fantastic course history at Sedgefield. Horschel has six T11-or-better finishes in his past seve...
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