RESOLVING THE LEDGER
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The Jets finished in the bottom two of the AFC East for the 10th straight season in 2025 and they haven't made the playoffs since 2010, but management decided to give Aaron Glenn another year and a rebooted cast of characters to turn things around. With a new quarterback in Geno Smith, four rookies expected to contribute immediately in David Bailey, Kenyon Sadiq, Omar Cooper Jr. and DeAngelo Ponds, two new coordinators and nowhere to go but up, the Jets won't have to do much to beat the betting market's expectations for their 2026 season.
We're taking a look at everything you need to know before making New York Jets futures bets below, including odds, trends, 2026 schedule, offseason changes and more before sharing our preseason betting strategy for the team. All odds are via DraftKings.
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The Jets have seen steam to the Over on their win total thanks to what's perceived to be a strong offseason in terms of adding talent. While a trip to the postseason would still be a shocker, the Jets may be able to take advantage of a division with two new head coaches and potential regression from the AFC champions to get to at least six wins.
The Jets have gone Over the win total just twice since 2017 -- in 2022 as you can see in the table, and in 2017 when a Josh McCown-led squad had a win total of just 3.5 and finished 5-11. In the 10 years since the Jets have finished the season with a positive point differential, they've allowed 1,193 more points than they've scored, and only four teams had a lower point differential in 2025 than that 10-year average (including the Jets at a league-worst -203).
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The Jets finished the season with the lowest pass yards per play mark in the league and topped 200 net passing yards in only five games while finishing with less than 60 net passing yards four times, including a brutal negative-10 net passing yards in a close loss to the Broncos. However, the offense did rank eighth in yards per rush, providing a positive to potentially build around. The lowlight on defense was becoming the first team to not record an interceptions since the NFL began tracking the stat back in 1933.
Whether the Jets will spark the passing attack this year should come down largely to two people: offensive coordinator Frank Reich and quarterback Geno Smith. When we last saw the former, he went 1-10 in Carolina before being fired, and the Panthers finished with the fewest passing yards in the league. Smith's success in Seattle did not carry over to Las Vegas, where he led the league in interceptions and times sacked in his one season with the Raiders. The pair will be supported by first-round draft picks at receiver and tight end, but not much else was done to upgrade the unit.
On the other hand, general manager Darren Mougey threw plenty of resources at the defense, with just four returning players expected to occupy starting positions. Key additions include the No. 2 overall pick David Bailey at edge rusher, T'Vondre Sweat on the defensive line, veteran Demario Davis at linebacker and Pro Bowler Nahshon Wright at corner.
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The Jets are one of a few teams with no international games and every game currently scheduled to be played on a Sunday. While three road games in the first four weeks is a tough start to the year, they'll have three winnable games at home the following four weeks when they host the Browns, Dolphins and Raiders. A win in Arizona late in the season could be the last victory needed to go above their total if they can steal a win here and there like they did three times last year.
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My initial lean was to go Under the Jets win total, then I talked myself into making them the one positive play in this division. But with the market souring on the Dolphins in July, it gave me time to rethink the Jets and I'm back to a negative play because I'm not sure why we should assume they're better that the Dolphins.
The Jets defense was terrible last year, and even though they brought in plenty of new faces to presumably help, I'll need to see it to believe it. Frank Reich and Geno Smith both fell flat in previous stops, and if that doesn't change, the influx of young talent on offense won't matter. Aaron Glenn seemed to struggle with the elevation to head coach and we'll see if he can learn from those missteps this year. With the Dolphins at +350 to have the fewest wins, I could also see backing the Jets at +850 in that market.
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