RESOLVING THE LEDGER
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See the full story · 1 sourcesChina, Russia, Iran and North Korea are acting as a strategically aligned bloc even without a formal mutual-defense treaty, according to a new Foundation for Defense of Democracies book warning that their cooperation could leave the United States confronting multiple crises simultaneously.
The book , "Axis of Aggressors: Countering the Cooperation of China, Russia, Iran and North Korea," examines how the four authoritarian governments support one another across military, economic, cyber and technology domains.
Its authors acknowledge that the grouping is not a NATO-style alliance. It has no unified command, comprehensive defense commitment or complete trust among its members. But they argue that its practical effects are already visible in active conflicts.
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"I just got back from a couple of weeks in Ukraine , and when I’m sitting in Ukraine, it’s really obvious to me that Ukraine is fighting Russia, North Korea, Iran and China," retired Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery, one of the book’s three authors, told Fox News Digital.
Montgomery pointed to North Korean ammunition and troops, Iranian drones and production expertise, and Chinese economic and technological support for Moscow.
"China is backstopping the whole thing, providing the economic backstop to Russia’s economy so they can survive this four-year catastrophic event for Russia," Montgomery said. "They’re providing microelectronics that we see in ballistic, cruise and hypersonic missiles."
The book’s researchers documented 616 instances of security cooperation among the four governments from Jan. 1, 2019, through Dec. 31, 2025, including arms transfers, weapons development, military exercises, intelligence sharing and military exchanges.
The central danger, Montgomery said, is what the book calls the "simultaneity problem."
"We don’t get to handle these with a singularity anymore. We have to handle this with a simultaneity," he said. "And I don’t think we can handle two problems at once, much less three or four."
During a potential confrontation between China and Taiwan , Montgomery said, North Korea could threaten South Korea or conduct limited attacks intended to pin down U.S. forces. A conflict involving Russia and NATO’s Baltic members could be accompanied by Iranian terrorism or other hostile activity.
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The book identifies China-Russia military cooperation as the axis’s most consequential bilateral relationship. Chinese dual-use products have helped sustain Russia’s defense industrial base, while Moscow is transferring technology and battlefield lessons that could assist China in a Pacific conflict.
North Korea has supplied Russia with millions of artillery rounds, ballistic missiles and troops, while Moscow has assisted Pyongyang’s missile, space, drone and nuclear programs, according to the book.
Iran has provided Russia with drones and production knowledge. The book warns that Russian and Chinese assistance could also help Tehran rebuild military capabilities damaged during its conflicts with Israel and the United States.
"The longer they can entangle the United States, whether it was in Ukraine or in Iran, China and Russia are the primary beneficiaries," Montgomery said.
Economic ties underpin the military cooperation, according to co-author Elaine Dezenski, who described the four-country economy as a "fractured alignment."
"These four players are bound together more by necessity than they are by a specific trust or shared strategy among them," Dezenski told Fox News Digital. "China needs energy. Russia and Iran need buyers for their oil and gas. And North Korea needs any lifeline that it can get."
China purchases discounted Russian and Iranian energy while providing goods, technology and access to its domestic market.
The relationships remain unequal. Russia and Iran compete to sell similar products, while China can seek other suppliers. But Dezenski said those divisions should not obscure the benefits the cooperation provides.
"The economics of this very much underpin the foundations for the military engagement that we see," she said.
The book says China purchases as much as 95% of Iran’s oil exports . Some sanctioned oil is routed through third countries, relabeled or processed by independent Chinese refineries known as "teapots."
"The export juggernaut that is China today is fueled by sanctioned oil and gas," Dezenski said.
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Dezenski also warned that China, Russia and Iran are developing payment systems outside traditional Western banking infrastructure. More trade is being settled in yuan through China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System, or CIPS, potentially reducing Washington’s ability to enforce sanctions through the dollar system.
"We need to really think about that sooner rather than later, before this alternative payment system becomes too big to tackle," Dezenski said.
Montgomery said the line between criminal hackers and government operatives is often deliberately blurred in all four countries.
"These regimes routinely outsource work to criminal groups to keep their own hands clean, and those groups are increasingly networking with each other," he said.
The book cites ties involving Iranian cybercriminals and Russian ransomware groups, Chinese actors on Russian dark-web forums, and Russian and North Korean state-backed hackers using shared operational infrastructure.
Carrie Filipetti, executive director of the Vandenberg Coalition and a former State Department official during the first Trump administration, said drone warfare demonstrates how assistance moves among the countries.
"Chinese components are used to create Iranian drones, which are then deployed by the Russians against Ukrainian civilians," Filipetti told Fox News Digital.
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