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Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, was in flying form last weekend - can he repeat the trick?
Week 1 @SkySportsPL Predictions & Best Bet results: MLS 4+ foul involvements 10/11 ✅ Isak to be fouled +1 10/11 ✅ Isak to be fouled +2 4/1 ✅ Chelsea to beat Fulham 17/20 ✅ P+L = +6.67 6/10 correct results 4/10 correct scores 🎯 pic.twitter.com/ul2MsD9DrK
Marc Guehi has been fouled 43 times in his last 17 matches for club and country, with opponents committing two or more fouls on him in 10 of those games. That is a hit rate of 59 per cent - comfortably above the probability implied by the 5/4 with Sky Bet, which makes this a value play.
The eye test backs it up, too. Guehi is far more comfortable carrying the ball into traffic than he was 12 months ago. He invites challenges, shields possession brilliantly and has become increasingly clever at using defenders' momentum against them.
Now add the Selhurst Park factor. This is Guehi's first return to his former club since joining Manchester City and it would be no surprise if the Palace crowd and players make him feel the heat. There is a target on his back here.
Also, Enzo Maresca surprisingly used...
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AIPROPX — “PL Predictions: More Palace pain? Man City to make it back-to-back wins” · https://www.aipropx.com/story/9d82d949b35b695f46dda1849c1b9e35
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